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| enacting_futures_in_postnormal_times [2016-06-24 16:22] – nik | enacting_futures_in_postnormal_times [2016-07-06 09:45] (current) – [References] maja |
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| preprint of http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2016.05.007 | preprint of http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2016.05.007 |
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| Maja Kuzmanovica, Nik Gaffney. FoAM, Koolmijnenkaai 30-34, Brussels, Belgium | Maja Kuzmanovic, Nik Gaffney. FoAM, Koolmijnenkaai 30-34, Brussels, Belgium |
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| ====Abstract==== | ====Abstract==== |
| ====References==== | ====References==== |
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| Adaptive Edge (2011). Learning Journey Overview. URL: | * Adaptive Edge (2011). Learning Journey Overview. http://www.adaptive-edge.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/LearningJourneyOverview.pdf. |
| | * Benson, B. (2013). Live Like a Hydra. https://medium.com/@buster/live-like-a-hydra-c02337782a89. |
| http://www.adaptive-edge.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/ LearningJourneyOverview.pdf. | * Blatner, A. (1996). Acting-in: practical applications of psychodramatic methods. (3rd ed.). New York: Springer Pub. Co. |
| | * Brand, S. (1999). The Clock of the Long Now: Time and Responsibility. Basic Books. |
| Benson, B. (2013). Live Like a Hydra. URL: https://medium.com/@buster/ live-like-a-hydra-c02337782a89. | * Buchenau, M., & Suri, J. F. (2000). Experience prototyping. In Proceedings of the 3rd conference on Designing interactive systems: processes, practices, methods, and techniques (pp. 424–433). ACM. http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=347802. |
| | * Calvino, I. (1996). Six memos for the next millennium. London: Vintage. |
| Blatner, A. (1996). Acting-in: practical applications of psychodramatic methods. (3rd ed.). New York: Springer Pub. Co. | * Candy, S. (2010). The Futures of Everyday Life: Politics and the Design of Experiential Scenarios. Ph.D. thesis University of Hawaii at Manoa. |
| | * Ch ̈odr ̈on, P. (2003). Comfortable with Uncertainty. Shambala. |
| Brand, S. (1999). The Clock of the Long Now: Time and Responsibility. Basic Books. | * Cornish, E. (2005). Futuring: the exploration of the future. (1st ed.). Bethesda, Md: World Future Society. |
| | * Csikszentmihalyi, M. (2002). Flow: the classic work on how to achieve happiness. London: Rider. |
| Buchenau, M., & Suri, J. F. (2000). Experience prototyping. In Proceedings of the 3rd conference on Designing interactive systems: processes, practices, methods, and techniques (pp. 424–433). ACM. URL: http://dl.acm.org/ citation.cfm?id=347802. | * Cuhls, K. E. (27-28 November 2014). Mental Time Travelling in Foresight Processes – Cases and Applications. Brussels, Belgium. https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/sites/default/files/fta22014-t2practice_66.pdf. |
| | * Cunha, M. P., Clegg, S. R., & Kamoche, K. (2012). Improvisation as “real time foresight”. Futures, 44, 265–272. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2011.10.009. |
| Calvino, I. (1996). Six memos for the next millennium. London: Vintage. Candy, S. (2010). The Futures of Everyday Life: Politics and the Design of | * Curry, A., & Schultz, W. (2009). Roads less travelled: different methods, different futures. Journal of Futures Studies, 13, 35–60. http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/13-4/AE03.pdf. |
| | * Dator, J. (2009). Alternative futures at the Manoa School. Journal of Futures Studies, 14, 1–18. http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/14-2/A01.pdf. |
| Experiential Scenarios. Ph.D. thesis University of Hawaii at Manoa. | * Dionisio, M., Bala, P., Trindade, R., Nisi, V., Hanna, J., & ’s Up, T. (2015). Lucid Peninsula: DreamScope – An Interactive Physical Installation. In Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGCHI Conference on Creativity and Cognition (pp. 377–378). New York, NY, USA: ACM. doi:10.1145/2757226.2757382. |
| | * Fisher, R., & Shapiro, D. (2006). Beyond reason: using emotions as you negotiate. ([nachdr.] ed.). New York: Penguin Books. |
| Ch ̈odr ̈on, P. (2003). Comfortable with Uncertainty. Shambala. | * Floyd, J., Burns, A., & Ramos, J. (2008). A Challenging Conversation on Integral Futures: Embodied Foresight and Trialogues. Journal of Futures Studies, 13, 69–86. http://vuir.vu.edu.au/1977/. |
| | * FoAM (2012). Borrowed Scenery: Cultivating an Alternate Reality. http://lib.fo.am/parn/borrowed_scenery_cultivating_an_ alternate_reality. |
| Cornish, E. (2005). Futuring: the exploration of the future. (1st ed.). Bethesda, Md: World Future Society. | * FoAM (2014a). Food, futures and food futures. http://fo.am/blog/2014/05/05/food-futures-and-food-futures/. |
| | * FoAM (2014b). The Futures of Doing Nothing. http://fo.am/futures-of-doing-nothing/. |
| Csikszentmihalyi, M. (2002). Flow: the classic work on how to achieve happiness. London: Rider. | * FoAM (2015a). A Futurist’s Fieldguide. http://libarynth.org/futurist_fieldguide/start. |
| | * FoAM (2015b). Godsheide Futures. http://lib.fo.am/future_ fabulators/godsheide_futures. |
| Cuhls, K. E. (27-28 November 2014). Mental Time Travelling in Foresight Processes – Cases and Applications. Brussels, Belgium. URL: https://ec. europa.eu/jrc/sites/default/files/fta22014-t2practice_66.pdf. | * Frazer, J. G., & Fraser, R. (1994). The golden bough: a study in magic and religion. World’s classics. Oxford ; New York: Oxford University Press. |
| | * Grof, S. (1985). Beyond the Brain: Birth, Death And Transcendence In Psychotherapy. State University of New York Press. |
| Cunha, M. P., Clegg, S. R., & Kamoche, K. (2012). Improvisation as “real time foresight”. Futures, 44, 265–272. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2011.10.009. | * Gupta, V. (2009). Beyond Resilience: Visionary Adaptation. http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-1374. |
| | * Huizinga, J. (1970). Homo Ludens: a study of the play element in culture. London: Maurice Temple Smith Ltd. |
| Curry, A., & Schultz, W. (2009). Roads less travelled: different methods, different futures. Journal of Futures Studies, 13, 35–60. URL: http: //www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/13-4/AE03.pdf. | * Icon (2009). Conversation: Dunne & Raby and Bruce Sterling. http://www.iconeye.com/design/features/item/4247-conversation-dunne-raby-and-bruce-sterling. |
| | * Inayatullah, S. (2004). Causal Layered Analysis: Theory, historical context, and case studies. In The Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) Reader. Taipei, Taiwan: Tamkang University Press. |
| Dator, J. (2009). Alternative futures at the Manoa School. Journal of Futures Studies, 14, 1–18. URL: http://www.jfs.tku.edu.tw/14-2/A01.pdf. | * IPCC (2014). Climate change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full.pdf. |
| | * Johnstone, K. (1987). Impro: Improvisation and the Theatre. Routledge. |
| 20 | * Kabat-Zinn, J. (1991). Full Catastrophe Living. Delta. |
| | * Kabat-Zinn, J. (2005). Coming to Our Senses. Hyperion. |
| Dionisio, M., Bala, P., Trindade, R., Nisi, V., Hanna, J., & ’s Up, T. (2015). Lucid Peninsula: DreamScope – An Interactive Physical Installation. In Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGCHI Conference on Creativity and Cognition (pp. 377–378). New York, NY, USA: ACM. doi:10.1145/2757226.2757382. | * Kuzmanovic, M., & Gaffney, N. (2013). Prehearsal Pocket Guide. http://libarynth.org/resilients/prehearsal_pocket_guide. |
| | * Kuzmanovic, M., & Gaffney, N. (2014). Prehearsing the Future. http://libarynth.org/future_fabulators/prehearsing_the_future. |
| Fisher, R., & Shapiro, D. (2006). Beyond reason: using emotions as you negotiate. ([nachdr.] ed.). New York: Penguin Books. | * Kuzmanovic, M., & Gaffney, N. (2015). Thriving in Uncertainty. https://medium.com/@foam/thriving-in-uncertainty-d74b75020b05. |
| | * Lu ̈tticken, S. (Ed.) (2005). Life, Once more: Forms of reenactment in contemporary art. Witte de With Publishers. |
| Floyd, J., Burns, A., & Ramos, J. (2008). A Challenging Conversation on Integral Futures: Embodied Foresight and Trialogues. Journal of Futures Studies, 13, 69–86. URL: http://vuir.vu.edu.au/1977/. | * McGrath, R., & MacMillan, I. (1995). Discovery-Driven Planning. Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/1995/07/ discovery-driven-planning/. |
| | * Merleau-Ponty, M. (2002). Phenomenology of perception. (2nd ed.). London: Routledge. |
| FoAM (2012). Borrowed Scenery: Cultivating an Alternate Reality. URL: http://lib.fo.am/parn/borrowed_scenery_cultivating_an_ alternate_reality. | * Miller, R. (2011). Being without existing: the futures community at a turning point? A comment on Jay Ogilvy’s “Facing the fold”. Foresight, 13, 24–34. doi:10.1108/14636681111153940. |
| | * Near Future Laboratory (2014). TBD catalog.. Near Future Laboratory. Nicolescu, B. (Ed.) (2008). Transdisciplinarity: theory and Practice. Cresskill, |
| FoAM (2014a). Food, futures and food futures. URL: http://fo.am/blog/ 2014/05/05/food-futures-and-food-futures/. | * N.J.: Hampton Press. |
| | * Office of Public Health Preparedness and Response (2015). Zombie Preparedness. http://blogs.cdc.gov/publichealthmatters/2011/05/preparedness-101-zombie-apocalypse/. |
| FoAM (2014b). The Futures of Doing Nothing. URL: http://fo.am/ futures-of-doing-nothing/. | * Ogilvy, J. (2011). Facing the fold: from the eclipse of Utopia to the restoration of hope. Foresight, 13, 7–23. |
| | * Pickard, J. (2012). A GONZO FUTURIST MANIFESTO. http://justinpickard.net/gonzo-futurist-manifesto.pdf. |
| FoAM (2015a). A Futurist’s Fieldguide. URL: http://libarynth.org/ futurist_fieldguide/start. | * Raes, B. (2015). Het verlangen te kunnen omdenken. https://medium.com/@foam/het-verlangen-te-kunnen-omdenken-77be1d0a6018. |
| | * Ramos, J. (2013). Mutant Futurists in the 21st Century. Journal of Futures Studies, 17, 151–158. |
| FoAM (2015b). Godsheide Futures. URL: http://lib.fo.am/future_ fabulators/godsheide_futures. | * Ramos, J. M. (2002). Action research as foresight methodology. Journal of futures studies, 7, 1–24. |
| | * Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: Futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight—What’s in a name? Futures , 42 , 177–184. doi:10.1016/j. futures.2009.11.001. |
| Frazer, J. G., & Fraser, R. (1994). The golden bough: a study in magic and religion. World’s classics. Oxford ; New York: Oxford University Press. | * Schultz, W. (2012). The History of Futures. In A. Curry (Ed.), The Future of Futures (pp. 3–7). Association of Professional Futurists. |
| | * Schwartz, P. (1998). The art of the long view: planning for the future in an uncertain world. Chichester: Wiley. |
| Grof, S. (1985). Beyond the Brain: Birth, Death And Transcendence In Psychotherapy. State University of New York Press. | * Sha, X. W., & Kuzmanovic, M. (2000). From Representation to Performance: Responsive Public Space. The CPSR Newsletter, 18. http://cpsr.org/prevsite/publications/newsletters/ issues/2000/Summer2000/wei-kuzmanovic.html/. |
| | * Shedroff, N. (1999). Information Interaction Design: A Unified Field Theory of Design. MIT Press. |
| Gupta, V. (2009). Beyond Resilience: Visionary Adaptation. URL: http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/global/ beyond-resilience-visionary-adaptation-1374. | * Silberzahn, P., & Jones, M. (2012). Crafting Non-Predictive Strategy, Part I: Deep Understanding Beats Prediction. http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/06/27/crafting-non-predictive-strategy-part-1-close-observation-beats-prediction. |
| | * Silver, N. (2013). The signal and the noise: the art and science of prediction. |
| Huizinga, J. (1970). Homo Ludens: a study of the play element in culture. London: Maurice Temple Smith Ltd. | * Slaughter, R. A. (2008). Integral Futures Methodologies. Futures, 40. |
| | * Smith, S. (2014). Winning Formula: Future of Data and Football. http://www.changeist.com/changeism/2014/6/9/winning-formula-one-future-of-data-and-sport. |
| Icon (2009). Conversation: Dunne & Raby and Bruce Sterling. URL: http://www.iconeye.com/design/features/item/ 4247-conversation-dunne-raby-and-bruce-sterling. | * Stark, L. (2012). Leaving mundania: inside the transformative world of live action role-playing games. Chicago, Ill: Chicago Review Press. |
| | * Stenros, J., & Montola, M. (Eds.) (2010). Nordic Larp. F ̈ea Livia. http://tampub.uta.fi/handle/10024/95123. |
| Inayatullah, S. (2004). Causal Layered Analysis: Theory, historical context, and case studies. In The Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) Reader. Taipei, Taiwan: Tamkang University Press. | * Takei, J., & Keane, M. P. (2001). Sakuteiki, visions of the Japanese garden: a modern translation of Japan’s gardening classic. Boston, Mass: Tuttle Pub. |
| | * Taleb, N. N. (2012). Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder. Random House. |
| 21 | * Tiesinga, H., & Berkhout, R. (Eds.) (2014). Labcraft. (Pdf version 9.23 ed.). London & San Francisco: Labcraft Publishing. http://labcraft.co/ |
| | * Time’s Up (2014). Lucid Peninsula. http://timesup.org/ LucidDreaming. |
| IPCC (2014). Climate change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. URL: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/ syr/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full.pdf. | * Time’s Up, FoAM (Eds.) (2013). PARN (Physical and Alternate Reality Narratives). Linz, Austria: Time’s Up. |
| | * Varela, F. J., Thompson, E., & Rosch, E. (1991). The Embodied Mind: Cognitive Science and Human Experience. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press. |
| Johnstone, K. (1987). Impro: Improvisation and the Theatre. Routledge. | * Watts, A. W. (1951). The wisdom of insecurity. New York: Vintage Books. |
| | * Wilson, R. A., & Foglia, L. (2011). Embodied Cognition. In E. N. Zalta (Ed.), The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy . (Fall 2011 ed.). http://plato.stanford.edu/archives/fall2011/entries/ embodied-cognition/. |
| Kabat-Zinn, J. (1991). Full Catastrophe Living. Delta. | |
| | |
| Kabat-Zinn, J. (2005). Coming to Our Senses. Hyperion. | |
| | |
| Kuzmanovic, M., & Gaffney, N. (2013). Prehearsal Pocket Guide. URL: http: //libarynth.org/resilients/prehearsal_pocket_guide. | |
| | |
| Kuzmanovic, M., & Gaffney, N. (2014). Prehearsing the Future. URL: http: //libarynth.org/future_fabulators/prehearsing_the_future. | |
| | |
| Kuzmanovic, M., & Gaffney, N. (2015). Thriving in Uncertainty. URL: https: //medium.com/@foam/thriving-in-uncertainty-d74b75020b05. | |
| | |
| Lu ̈tticken, S. (Ed.) (2005). Life, Once more: Forms of reenactment in contemporary art. Witte de With Publishers. | |
| | |
| McGrath, R., & MacMillan, I. (1995). Discovery-Driven Planning. Harvard Business Review , . URL: https://hbr.org/1995/07/ discovery-driven-planning/. | |
| | |
| Merleau-Ponty, M. (2002). Phenomenology of perception. (2nd ed.). London: Routledge. | |
| | |
| Miller, R. (2011). Being without existing: the futures community at a turning point? A comment on Jay Ogilvy’s “Facing the fold”. Foresight, 13, 24–34. doi:10.1108/14636681111153940. | |
| | |
| Near Future Laboratory (2014). TBD catalog.. Near Future Laboratory. Nicolescu, B. (Ed.) (2008). Transdisciplinarity: theory and Practice. Cresskill, | |
| | |
| N.J.: Hampton Press. | |
| | |
| Office of Public Health Preparedness and Response (2015). Zombie Preparedness. URL: http://blogs.cdc.gov/publichealthmatters/2011/05/ preparedness-101-zombie-apocalypse/. | |
| | |
| Ogilvy, J. (2011). Facing the fold: from the eclipse of Utopia to the restoration of hope. Foresight, 13, 7–23. | |
| | |
| Pickard, J. (2012). A GONZO FUTURIST MANIFESTO. URL: http:// justinpickard.net/gonzo-futurist-manifesto.pdf. | |
| | |
| Raes, B. (2015). Het verlangen te kunnen omdenken. URL: https://medium. com/@foam/het-verlangen-te-kunnen-omdenken-77be1d0a6018. | |
| | |
| 22 | |
| | |
| Ramos, J. (2013). Mutant Futurists in the 21st Century. Journal of Futures Studies, 17, 151–158. | |
| | |
| Ramos, J. M. (2002). Action research as foresight methodology. Journal of futures studies, 7, 1–24. | |
| | |
| Sardar, Z. (2010). The Namesake: Futures; futures studies; futurology; futuristic; foresight—What’s in a name? Futures , 42 , 177–184. doi:10.1016/j. futures.2009.11.001. | |
| | |
| Schultz, W. (2012). The History of Futures. In A. Curry (Ed.), The Future of Futures (pp. 3–7). Association of Professional Futurists. | |
| | |
| Schwartz, P. (1998). The art of the long view: planning for the future in an uncertain world. Chichester: Wiley. | |
| | |
| Sha, X. W., & Kuzmanovic, M. (2000). From Representation to Performance: Responsive Public Space. The CPSR Newsletter, 18. URL: http://cpsr.org/prevsite/publications/newsletters/ issues/2000/Summer2000/wei-kuzmanovic.html/. | |
| | |
| Shedroff, N. (1999). Information Interaction Design: A Unified Field Theory of Design. MIT Press. | |
| | |
| Silberzahn, P., & Jones, M. (2012). Crafting Non- | |
| | |
| Predictive Strategy, Part I: Deep Understanding Beats Pre- | |
| | |
| diction. URL: http://silberzahnjones.com/2012/06/27/ crafting-non-predictive-strategy-part-1-close-observation-beats-prediction. | |
| | |
| Silver, N. (2013). The signal and the noise: the art and science of prediction. | |
| | |
| Slaughter, R. A. (2008). Integral Futures Methodologies. Futures, 40. | |
| | |
| Smith, S. (2014). Winning Formula: Future of Data and Football. URL: http://www.changeist.com/changeism/2014/6/9/ winning-formula-one-future-of-data-and-sport. | |
| | |
| Stark, L. (2012). Leaving mundania: inside the transformative world of live action role-playing games. Chicago, Ill: Chicago Review Press. | |
| | |
| Stenros, J., & Montola, M. (Eds.) (2010). Nordic Larp. F ̈ea Livia. URL: http://tampub.uta.fi/handle/10024/95123. | |
| | |
| Takei, J., & Keane, M. P. (2001). Sakuteiki, visions of the Japanese garden: a modern translation of Japan’s gardening classic. Boston, Mass: Tuttle Pub. | |
| | |
| Taleb, N. N. (2012). Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder. Random House. | |
| | |
| Tiesinga, H., & Berkhout, R. (Eds.) (2014). Labcraft. (Pdf version 9.23 ed.). London & San Francisco: Labcraft Publishing. URL: http://labcraft.co/. | |
| | |
| 23 | |
| | |
| Time’s Up (2014). Lucid Peninsula. URL: http://timesup.org/ LucidDreaming. | |
| | |
| Time’s Up, FoAM, Blast Theory, Auer, T., Boykett, T., Eek, C., Gaffney, N., Harger, H., Howse, M., Kuzmanovic, M., Mayrhofer, A., Mertens, A., Nisi, V., & Orlic, P. (2013). PARN (Physical and Alternate Reality Narratives). Linz, Austria: Time’s Up. | |
| | |
| Varela, F. J., Thompson, E., & Rosch, E. (1991). The Embodied Mind: Cognitive Science and Human Experience. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press. | |
| | |
| Watts, A. W. (1951). The wisdom of insecurity. New York: Vintage Books. | |
| | |
| Wilson, R. A., & Foglia, L. (2011). Embodied Cognition. In E. N. Zalta (Ed.), The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy . (Fall 2011 ed.). URL: http://plato.stanford.edu/archives/fall2011/entries/ embodied-cognition/. | |
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| 24 | |
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