Show pageOld revisionsBacklinksBack to top You've loaded an old revision of the document! If you save it, you will create a new version with this data. Media Files ==== Six Rules for Effective Forecasting ==== "The goal of forecasting is not to predict the future but to tell you what you need to know to take meaningful action in the present.""" * Rule 1: Define a Cone of Uncertainty * Rule 2: Look for the S Curve * Rule 3: Embrace the Things That Don’t Fit * Rule 4: Hold Strong Opinions Weakly * Rule 5: Look Back Twice as Far as You Look Forward * Rule 6: Know When Not to Make a Forecast Paul Saffo in http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/hbsp/hbr/articles/article.jsp?articleID=R0707K&ml_action=get-article&print=true&ml_issueid=BR0707 Please fill all the letters into the box to prove you're human. Please keep this field empty: SavePreviewCancel Edit summary Note: By editing this page you agree to license your content under the following license: CC Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International forecasting.1186575689.txt.gz Last modified: 2007-08-08 12:21by nik