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confabulation [2013-10-07 21:27] – nik | future_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-14 06:33] – [scenario database] maja | ||
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==== Confabulation ==== | ==== Confabulation ==== | ||
- | working notes fr FF. | + | working notes of Future Fabulators |
+ | |||
+ | {{future_fabulators: | ||
+ | |||
+ | “Any useful idea about the future should appear to be ridiculous” Dator’s 2nd Law of the Future (Dator 1995) | ||
==== external / rational ==== | ==== external / rational ==== | ||
- | * [[Prediction Markets]] | + | * [[: |
+ | * can we use predictions to help separate/ | ||
+ | * what is the question? can it be answered decisively at a particular point in the future? what is at stake? what are the consequences or impacts? | ||
==== internal / irrational ==== | ==== internal / irrational ==== | ||
* divination / invocation | * divination / invocation | ||
- | ==== reading/ | + | ==== physical narratives |
- | * various | + | |
- | * bloom, ventus, mars trilogy, incrementalists, etc+ | + | * Christine Wilks talking about text as a way for developing character depth; |
- | * 'the culture' | + | * performing text on screen |
- | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Culture | + | * Varytale |
- | * [[notes on the culture]] | + | * "Text becomes the equivalent of subtitles" |
- | * https://en.wikipedia.org/ | + | * Very based around computer games. |
- | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religious_ideas_in_science_fiction | + | * " |
- | * The Hermetic Library reading room >> http://hermetic.com/reading-room/ | + | * Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have " |
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | ====formalised decision making==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | A lot of the scenario planning process has to do with [[Formalised Decision Making]] and how this is done in groups. | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | ==== present / future | ||
+ | |||
+ | 20140206 Having done several [[scenarios|scenario workshops]], it seems that the most powerful aspect of the process is the realisation that people usually live in multiple scenarios today - which makes them laugh in recognition, but also helps distill the issues very quickly. How ' | ||
+ | |||
+ | Here are a few possible research questions and directions (some quite broad, others very specific), collected from various debriefs | ||
+ | |||
+ | **How to improve the [[prehearsal pocket guide]]?** (notes from February 2014) | ||
+ | |||
+ | General questions: | ||
+ | * 'but why...' | ||
+ | * how do we encourage a sense of agency amongst the participants when discussing and developing ' | ||
+ | * how do we clarify that what we’re doing is not about predicting the future, but about empowering people to be more aware of their present situation and clarify what they could do today to shape their actions to encourage a preferred possible future? | ||
+ | * what other forms can ' | ||
+ | * what is the shortest and/or longest time in which we can complete meaningful scenario workshops and/or prehearsals to come up with interesting results while keeping the process enjoyable for the participants? | ||
+ | * what other methods, aside from scenario building, are used to discuss possible futures? | ||
+ | * what can we borrow from other fields, such as; improv, role playing games, LARP, disaster drills, meditation… to improve prehearsals? | ||
+ | * how can we help increase | ||
+ | * how could we enable participants to use digital tools to enrich the process, while avoiding distractions and displacements of email, social media, etc? what collaborative digital tools could we use to share the same digital working surface (something like Reactable for example) | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | ==== scenario database ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | 20140205 While editing | ||
+ | |||
+ | * what is the question? | ||
+ | * what are the scenario axes? | ||
+ | * sometimes we have a short answer to the question (usually created after making the scenarios) | ||
+ | * how far in the future does the scenario take place? | ||
+ | * scenario description | ||
+ | * genaral image(s) | ||
+ | * more specific/ | ||
+ | * links to the pages of related scenarios (and a ' | ||
+ | |||
+ | should we try to contextualise the scenarios directly in the database? | ||
+ | * a section with links to projects/ | ||
+ | * section on how the scenario is turned into a prehearsal (could be in the form of a 'day in the life of..."? | ||
+ | * reflections on the prehearsal | ||
+ | * etc. | ||
+ | |||
+ | or should we keep the database only as a 'short story collection'? | ||
+ | |||
+ | a rather bad example of a scenario database is the [[http://www.millennium-project.org/millennium/futuresmatrix.html|Millennium Project' | ||
+ | ==== software & protocols ==== | ||
+ | * open formats > closed formats | ||
+ | * utf-8 > ascii/ | ||
+ | * documents | ||
+ | * utf-8 text or ODF (libreoffice, | ||
+ | * pdf for reference & archiving | ||
+ | | ||
+ | * semi syncronous; email, twitter, irc (freenode -> #ff ?) | ||
+ | * asyncronous; | ||
+ | * algorithmic sketching; racket, common lisp, python, git | ||
+ | * online | ||
+ | * **libarynth** for text, tangents and collation -> http://libarynth.org | ||
+ | * **flickr** for image matter -> https://secure.flickr.com/photos/foam/ | ||
+ | * **vimeo** for video matter -> http://vimeo.com/fo4m | ||
+ | * **zotero** for library and references | ||
+ | * potentially | ||
+ | * tumblr, cargo, diasp, other? | ||
+ | * prediction book | ||
+ | * wikipedia | ||