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future_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-10 07:22] – nik | future_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-11 06:10] – maja | ||
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Here are a few possible research questions and directions (some quite broad, others very specific), collected from various debriefs | Here are a few possible research questions and directions (some quite broad, others very specific), collected from various debriefs | ||
- | **How to improve the [[: | + | **How to improve the [[prehearsal pocket guide]]?** (notes from February 2014) |
General questions: | General questions: | ||
- | * 'but why' (experiential futurism)? | + | * 'but why...' (experiential futurism)? |
- | * how do we give the participants | + | * how do we encourage |
* how do we clarify that what we’re doing is not about predicting the future, but about empowering people to be more aware of their present situation and clarify what they could do today to shape their actions to encourage a preferred possible future? | * how do we clarify that what we’re doing is not about predicting the future, but about empowering people to be more aware of their present situation and clarify what they could do today to shape their actions to encourage a preferred possible future? | ||
- | * what forms can ' | + | * what other forms can ' |
- | * what is the shortest and longest time in which we can do scenario workshops and/or prehearsals to come up with interesting results | + | * what is the shortest and/or longest time in which we can complete meaningful |
- | * how can we help increase commitment of the participants | + | * what other methods, aside from scenario building, are used to discuss possible futures? |
- | * what can we borrow from other fields, | + | * what can we borrow from other fields, |
- | * how can we allow participants to use digital tools to enrich the process, | + | * how can we help increase the commitment of the participants to work towards their preferred future(s)? how much follow-up is needed? |
- | * what other methods, aside from scenario building, are used to discuss possible futures? | + | * how could we enable |
Preparation beforehand | Preparation beforehand | ||
* what can participants prepare for a scenario workshop beforehand? | * what can participants prepare for a scenario workshop beforehand? | ||
- | * what is the ideal room size (per person) for a scenario workshop? | + | * what are the ideal settings (e.g. room size per person) for a scenario workshop? |
Key question | Key question | ||
- | * how to better structure designing the core question? | + | * how to better structure/ |
- | * how can we encourage | + | * how can we encourage |
- | * why is it so difficult to make questions | + | * why does it seem more difficult to phrase |
Mapping the present situation | Mapping the present situation | ||
* what are different ways to map-out the present situation surrounding the key question? | * what are different ways to map-out the present situation surrounding the key question? | ||
- | | + | * [[KPUU Framework]] |
- | * does it help talking | + | |
+ | * does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist? | ||
Key factors | Key factors | ||
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Macro trends | Macro trends | ||
* how much analysis is appropriate for the types of scenarios and prehearsals we’re making? | * how much analysis is appropriate for the types of scenarios and prehearsals we’re making? | ||
+ | * how can we make assumptions and guesswork more apparent (i.e. indicating how drivers can be based on an assumption, guess or ' | ||
* what is the relevance of facts and data related to macro trends in experiential futurism? | * what is the relevance of facts and data related to macro trends in experiential futurism? | ||
- | * how can we have a more constructive discussion about the macro trends | + | * how can we have a more constructive discussion about the macro trends |
- | * how do we look at drivers as dynamic forces? should we be looking at responses to trends rather than trends in general? | + | * how do we look at drivers as dynamic forces? should we be looking at responses to trends rather than trends in general? |
* what are existing ways of discussing trends with groups of people? | * what are existing ways of discussing trends with groups of people? | ||
- | * should we make our own STEEP cards to avoid the ' | + | * should we make our own STEEP cards to avoid the ' |
- | * are there other ways to group trends | + | * are there other well understood methods |
* is there another way to look at large scale changes aside from trends (without having to do a PhD in each of the changes)? | * is there another way to look at large scale changes aside from trends (without having to do a PhD in each of the changes)? | ||
- | + | * how effective are these methods and how can we usefully evalute them? | |
+ | * what does a ' | ||
Ranking critical uncertainties | Ranking critical uncertainties | ||
* what are different ways in which this is done by others? | * what are different ways in which this is done by others? | ||
- | |||
Scenarios | Scenarios | ||
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* " | * " | ||
* Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have " | * Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have " | ||
+ | * [[http:// | ||
+ | * Rekto:Verso over de toekomst: http:// | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==== via Lies Declerck ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | (things to follow up) | ||
+ | |||
+ | Hanna Arendt and ' | ||
+ | Voor Arendt is ' | ||
+ | http:// | ||
+ | |||
+ | Sébastien Hendrickx en 'alsof strategie: | ||
+ | |||
+ | de ' | ||
+ | |||
+ | (...) | ||
+ | |||
+ | Toch bezit de kunst geen monopolie op de kritische zin en de kracht van de verbeelding. In tal van maatschappelijke domeinen wordt vandaag grondig nagedacht over alternatieven, | ||
+ | Maar anders dan deze initiatieven hoeven de ' | ||
+ | |||
+ | (...) | ||
+ | |||
+ | Enerzijds slaan zij met een grote leergierigheid bruggen tussen kunst en leven: de verplaatsingen in andere maatschappelijke praktijken maken de inhoudelijke vragen binnen hun werk heel concreet en tastbaar en zorgen voor een uitbreiding van het veld van vormelijke mogelijkheden. Anderzijds blijven zij de kunst behoedzaam van het leven onderscheiden: | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | http:// | ||