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future_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-10 07:33] – nik | future_fabulators:confabulation [2014-02-11 07:11] – maja | ||
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* [[: | * [[: | ||
* can we use predictions to help separate/ | * can we use predictions to help separate/ | ||
- | * what is the question? can it be answered | + | * what is the question? can it be answered |
==== internal / irrational ==== | ==== internal / irrational ==== | ||
* divination / invocation | * divination / invocation | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==== Physical Narratives ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Christine Wilks talking about text as a way for developing character depth; [[http:// | ||
+ | * performing text on screen | ||
+ | * Varytale | ||
+ | * "Text becomes the equivalent of subtitles" | ||
+ | * Very based around computer games. | ||
+ | * " | ||
+ | * Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have " | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | ====formalised decision making==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | A lot of the scenario planning process has to do with [[Formalised Decision Making]] and how this is done in groups. | ||
+ | |||
==== present / future ==== | ==== present / future ==== | ||
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Here are a few possible research questions and directions (some quite broad, others very specific), collected from various debriefs | Here are a few possible research questions and directions (some quite broad, others very specific), collected from various debriefs | ||
- | **How to improve the [[: | + | **How to improve the [[prehearsal pocket guide]]?** (notes from February 2014) |
General questions: | General questions: | ||
* 'but why...' | * 'but why...' | ||
- | * how do we encourage a sense of agency amongst the participants when discussing ' | + | * how do we encourage a sense of agency amongst the participants when discussing |
* how do we clarify that what we’re doing is not about predicting the future, but about empowering people to be more aware of their present situation and clarify what they could do today to shape their actions to encourage a preferred possible future? | * how do we clarify that what we’re doing is not about predicting the future, but about empowering people to be more aware of their present situation and clarify what they could do today to shape their actions to encourage a preferred possible future? | ||
* what other forms can ' | * what other forms can ' | ||
- | | + | |
+ | * what other methods, aside from scenario building, are used to discuss possible futures? | ||
+ | * what can we borrow from other fields, such as; improv, role playing games, LARP, disaster drills, meditation… to improve prehearsals? | ||
* how can we help increase the commitment of the participants to work towards their preferred future(s)? how much follow-up is needed? | * how can we help increase the commitment of the participants to work towards their preferred future(s)? how much follow-up is needed? | ||
- | | + | * how could we enable participants to use digital tools to enrich the process, while avoiding distractions and displacements of email, social media, etc? what collaborative digital tools could we use to share the same digital working surface (something like Reactable for example) |
- | | + | |
- | * what other methods, aside from scenario building, are used to discuss possible futures? | + | |
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Key question | Key question | ||
+ | * what are good questions to ask? | ||
+ | * [[http:// | ||
* how to better structure/ | * how to better structure/ | ||
+ | * [[https:// | ||
* how can we encourage an ' | * how can we encourage an ' | ||
* why does it seem more difficult to phrase questions rather than stating problems? | * why does it seem more difficult to phrase questions rather than stating problems? | ||
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Mapping the present situation | Mapping the present situation | ||
* what are different ways to map-out the present situation surrounding the key question? | * what are different ways to map-out the present situation surrounding the key question? | ||
+ | * [[KPUU Framework]] | ||
* when is this step necessary? when can it be reduced/ | * when is this step necessary? when can it be reduced/ | ||
* does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist? | * does it help to talk about things that are fixed, or constraints that exist? | ||
Line 49: | Line 69: | ||
Key factors | Key factors | ||
* how to best visualise and cluster the relationships between key factors | * how to best visualise and cluster the relationships between key factors | ||
+ | * " | ||
* are we talking only about success criteria here? | * are we talking only about success criteria here? | ||
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* are there other well understood methods to group trends other than the customary STEEP (in which cultural changes seem to be clumped in with social or political)? | * are there other well understood methods to group trends other than the customary STEEP (in which cultural changes seem to be clumped in with social or political)? | ||
* is there another way to look at large scale changes aside from trends (without having to do a PhD in each of the changes)? | * is there another way to look at large scale changes aside from trends (without having to do a PhD in each of the changes)? | ||
- | + | * how effective are these methods and how can we usefully evalute them? | |
+ | * what does a ' | ||
Ranking critical uncertainties | Ranking critical uncertainties | ||
* what are different ways in which this is done by others? | * what are different ways in which this is done by others? | ||
- | |||
Scenarios | Scenarios | ||
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* wikipedia | * wikipedia | ||
- | ==== reading/ | ||
- | * various [[:scifi]] threads re. possible future cultures, shifting relation between humans & their environment, | ||
- | * bloom, ventus, mars trilogy, incrementalists, | ||
- | * "A History of the Future in 100 Objects " >> [[https:// | ||
- | * 'the culture' | ||
- | * https:// | ||
- | * [[: | ||
- | * https:// | ||
- | * https:// | ||
- | * The Hermetic Library reading room >> http:// | ||
- | * Erwin Wagenhofer' | ||
- | * Christine Wilks talking about text as a way for developing character depth; [[http:// | ||
- | * performing text on screen | ||
- | * Varytale | ||
- | * "Text becomes the equivalent of subtitles" | ||
- | * Very based around computer games. | ||
- | * " | ||
- | * Note: Prehearsals are first person narratives, PNs are third person. Thus a Prehearsal can have " | ||