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future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 16:41] michkafuture_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 16:55] michka
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 ===Environmental=== ===Environmental===
  
-   * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere > increased systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicinespotentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity.+   * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere  
 +     increasing systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines 
 +     * > potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. 
    * Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.    * Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
-   * Increase of desertification > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people, adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.+ 
 +   * Increase of desertification > decrease of available arable soil surface > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people, adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. 
    * Climate change    * Climate change
-     * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity; when combined with hyper-specialization  of food crops per location (see Economical trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients.+     * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts  
 +       > localized high food scarcity;  
 +       * > when combined with hyper-specialization of food crops per location (see Economical trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients.
      * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide.      * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide.
-   * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of available food crops; reduced resilience to change in seasinal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor peopleadverse health effects for a wide range of the world populationgeopolitical instability. + 
-   * Decrease of available energetic resources > Increase on "traveling food" prices > when combined with increased inequities in personal wealth (see Economical Ttrends), reduce of food ingredients availability for most of the population (see Economical trends) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor peopleadverse health effects for a wide range of the world populationgeopolitical instability.+   * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of edible animal & plant species > reduced resilience to change in seasonal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food  
 +     > starvation for specific locations & poor people 
 +     * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population 
 +     * > geopolitical instability. 
 + 
 +   * Decrease of available energetic resources > Increase on "traveling food" prices > when combined with increased inequities in personal wealth (see Economical Ttrends), reduce of food ingredients availability for most of the population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food  
 +     > starvation for specific locations & poor people 
 +     * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population 
 +     * > geopolitical instability.
  
 ===Economical=== ===Economical===
  
    * Increased globalization of economy    * Increased globalization of economy
-     * Prevalence of large-scale over small-scale food production > environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. +     * Prevalence of large-scale over small-scale food production > environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted  
-     * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends) > potentially massive scarcity of a essential food crops > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.+       > starvation for specific locations & poor people;  
 +       * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population;  
 +       * > geopolitical instability. 
 +     * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends) > potentially massive scarcity of a essential food crops > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted  
 +       > starvation for specific locations & poor people;  
 +       * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population;  
 +       * > geopolitical instability. 
    * Increased financiarisation of economy    * Increased financiarisation of economy
-     * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > combined with increasing inequities in personal wealth, reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. +     * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > combined with increasing inequities in personal wealth, reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food 
-   * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor peopleadverse health effects for a wide range of the world populationgeopolitical instability.+       > starvation for specific locations & poor people;  
 +       * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population;  
 +       * > geopolitical instability. 
 + 
 +   * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food  
 +     > starvation for specific locations & poor people 
 +     * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population 
 +     * > geopolitical instability.
        
-   * To a minor extent, localized alternative economies, such as integral cooperatives [[http://www.reporterre.net/spip.php?article4806|(in French) integral cooperatives]], local currencies, barter networks & gift economy initiatives > reduces inequities within economic players at local scale > better global health at local population scale.+   * To a minor extent, localized alternative economies, such as [[http://www.reporterre.net/spip.php?article4806|(in French) integral cooperatives]], local currencies, barter networks & gift economy initiatives  
 +     > reduces inequities within economic players at local scale  
 +       > better global health at local population scale.
        
-   * Global game changer: if a major demographic group, global economic player & industrial producer installs basic income... It is about to be [[http://bien.ch/fr/node/417|voted by the population in Switzerland]] and has been proposed as a [[http://basicincome2013.eu/|popular initiative in Europe]] > [[http://www.projet-decroissance.net/?p=1640|depending on how it would be defined]], it may reverse the large-scale industrial dynamics and may induced better global health & wellness results.+   * Global game changer: if a major demographic group, global economic player & industrial producer installs basic income. It is about to be [[http://bien.ch/fr/node/417|voted by the population in Switzerland]] and has been proposed as a [[http://basicincome2013.eu/|popular initiative in Europe]]  
 +     > [[http://www.projet-decroissance.net/?p=1640|depending on how it would be defined]], it may reverse the large-scale industrial dynamics and may induced better global health & wellness results.
  
 ===Demographic=== ===Demographic===
  
    * Increase of global population > more food needed > combined with reduction of soil availability & fertility, reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.    * Increase of global population > more food needed > combined with reduction of soil availability & fertility, reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
 +
    * Increase of urban population    * Increase of urban population
      * Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens       * Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens 
-       * > increase energetic resource depletion rate (also needed for industrial food production) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor peopleadverse health effects for a wide range of the world populationgeopolitical instability. +       * > increase energetic resource depletion rate (also needed for industrial food production) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food  
-       * > increase of atmospheric, water and soil pollution due to transport industry > adverse health effects. +         > starvation for specific locations & poor people 
-     * Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor peopleadverse health effects for a wide range of the world populationgeopolitical instability.+         * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population 
 +         * > geopolitical instability. 
 +       * > increase of atmospheric, water and soil pollution due to massive transport 
 +         > adverse health effects. 
 +     * Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food  
 +       > starvation for specific locations & poor people 
 +       * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population 
 +       * > geopolitical instability.
  
 ===Cultural=== ===Cultural===
  
-   * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?) > changing the demand thus the production balance of food crops at world scale ? +   * Prevalent cultural preference to industrially-produced food (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...)  
-   * Prevalent cultural preference to industrially-produced food (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...) +     * > existing demand stimulates production & thus industrial agriculture 
-   * Minority, stable or increasing, adhering to the GASAPs, Slow Food & Organic Food movements > combined with participation to alternative economic systems (see Economical trends), at least localized positive impacts on available food diversity & global health.+       * > pollution 
 +         * > adverse health effects 
 +     * > low food diversity 
 +       * > adverse health effects 
 + 
 +   * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)  
 +     > changing the demand thus the production balance of food crops at world scale ? 
 + 
 +   * Minority, stable or increasing, adhering to the GASAPs, Slow Food & Organic Food movements > combined with participation to alternative economic systems (see Economical trends), localized positive impacts on available food diversity & global health.
  
 ===Political=== ===Political===
 +
    * Increase of patenting & decrease of authorized crop varieties [[http://blogs.mediapart.fr/blog/malto-cortese/221113/agriculteurs-et-jardiniers-seront-ils-bientot-obliges-de-cultiver-dans-la-clandestinite|(in French), an article from Mediapart on seeds patenting]]    * Increase of patenting & decrease of authorized crop varieties [[http://blogs.mediapart.fr/blog/malto-cortese/221113/agriculteurs-et-jardiniers-seront-ils-bientot-obliges-de-cultiver-dans-la-clandestinite|(in French), an article from Mediapart on seeds patenting]]
      * > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking > global impoverishment of food culture.      * > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking > global impoverishment of food culture.
-     * > decreased resilience to change in seasonal patterns & average climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food + most of the food heavily polluted > starvation for specific locations & poor peopleadverse health effects for a wide range of the world populationgeopolitical instability.+     * > decreased resilience to change in seasonal patterns & average climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food  
 +       > starvation for specific locations & poor people 
 +       * > adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population 
 +       * > geopolitical instability. 
    * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements [[http://www.lesinrocks.com/2012/05/29/actualite/le-fantasme-dune-arme-de-nonazis-11262225/|(in French), an article from les Inrocks analysing the situation of far-right parties in Europe]] > (violent) incentive back to traditional culture, and therefore cooking > reduction of food ingredients diversity at local scale ?     * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements [[http://www.lesinrocks.com/2012/05/29/actualite/le-fantasme-dune-arme-de-nonazis-11262225/|(in French), an article from les Inrocks analysing the situation of far-right parties in Europe]] > (violent) incentive back to traditional culture, and therefore cooking > reduction of food ingredients diversity at local scale ? 
  
-===Boiling it down=== 
  • future_fabulators/food_horizons.txt
  • Last modified: 2014-10-25 16:02
  • by maja