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| future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-02 09:34] – michka | future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-02 11:44] – michka | ||
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| * > when combined with hyper-specialization of food crops per location (see Economic trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients. | * > when combined with hyper-specialization of food crops per location (see Economic trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients. | ||
| * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide. | * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide. | ||
| + | * See detailed results from IPCC report below. | ||
| * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of edible animal & plant species > reduced resilience to change in seasonal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food | * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of edible animal & plant species > reduced resilience to change in seasonal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food | ||
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| * > geopolitical instability. | * > geopolitical instability. | ||
| + | |||
| + | reference: IPCC WGII AR5 Chapter 7 "Food Security and Food Production Systems" | ||
| {{ar5_fig_spm_2a.png}} | {{ar5_fig_spm_2a.png}} | ||
| IPCC AR5 WG2 Figure SPM.2a | IPCC AR5 WG2 Figure SPM.2a | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==Change in Plant Crops Production== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * India: global loss in cereal production. | ||
| + | * Brazil: loss in cereal, drastic increase in beans. | ||
| + | * US: no big change in cerelas, slight increase in Soy | ||
| + | * Europe: | ||
| + | * Increase in plant crops in Boreal, Alpine, North & Central Atlantic & South Continental climates. | ||
| + | * Moderate change in Continental North. | ||
| + | * Decrease in Atlantic South & Mediterranean climates. | ||
| + | * Australia: global decrease. | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==Change in Livestock Production== | ||
| + | |||
| + | * Africa: less Livestock & Dairy | ||
| + | * Europe: | ||
| + | * France: no impact on dairy yield, but impact both positive and negative + instability on forage fields. | ||
| + | * Italy & Netherlands: | ||
| + | * Disease increase: Bluetongue virus | ||
| + | * Oceania: decrease everywhere but South Australia. | ||
| + | * South America: | ||
| + | * Andean mountains: decrease of every livestock but sheep, which increase. | ||
| + | * Argentina & Chile: more beef cattle. | ||
| + | * Columbia, Venezuela & Ecuador: less beef cattle. | ||
| + | * North America: strong decrease of Dairy yields. | ||
| ===Economic=== | ===Economic=== | ||
maja