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--- future_fabulators:new_approaches_and_needs_in_foresight [2014-12-01 14:18] – nik
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 (workshop at FTA 2014 - 27 NOV 2014)
+short summary workshop "New approaches in FTA / foresight" at the EU FTA conference, November 2014 (based on notes from Cornelia Daheim)
+===New Approaches===
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+major clusters:
+  - IT-based / "automated” foresight (in early stages, to be used with a "disclaimer” because of the current hype, experiences still have to be evaluated and sense-making still not generated;) Relies strongly on having had a precise "question" / task before starting
+  - Integrated qualitative-quantitative approaches. Few examples, debated how far foresight should go - should never succumb to the traditional numbers dominance
+  - Open and Crowdsourced
+    * Lots of potential also in terms of who funds foresight and how - crowdfunding possibilities e.g. for regional / community foresight
+    * Quite widespread in terms of open approaches
+  - New forms of communication: Storytelling / Visualization / Gaming:
+    * Here, we had the most real "new" examples, e.g. from overlaps / working with Design Fiction, Experiential Foresight (Roleplaying), "Tangible Foresight" ("Exhibitions" / Futures Windows; Objects from the future, ...)
+    * Major potential for improving the impact / establishing new routes to engagement
+  * Further Trends / Tendencies: Impacts Assessment; Focus on Pre-Foresight-Phase (Conceptualization); Tailor-Made Foresight / Test-driving and then adapting approaches / Stochastic tinkering for finding best approach; Cluster / cross-sectoral foresight; Open Innovation Foresight ; Meta-Trend = towards hybrid / combined approaches
+  * new application fields also emerging, e.g. society-wide foresight, e.g. with kids; or foresight for therapy, …
+New or Unmet Needs in Foresight
+Where are new needs?
+  * Needs in Innovation Field are expanding
+  * Also in corporate foresight
+  * Health / social systems
+  * “Political” Foresight
+Need for Shared Theoretical Background / Futures Literacy / practical principles
+  * Shared language / vocabulary
+  * Prove / exemplify impacts
+  * Practitioners being clear about values
+  * Need for more value-based approaches
+===Tools and Skills Needs===
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+  * Open Toolkits / Prototypes
+  * Take into account emotions and experience
+  * Use of narratives / storytelling; stimulating the imagination
+  * Integrate diversity of input (“overflow” effect)
+  * Selling power needed
+  * Bridge need for reflecting complexity and smart / emotional communication means
+  * Speed - can we provide instant gratification in foresight?
+  * Need for skills in change management / changing of cultures (in organizations)
+Lots of room for improvement in realm of implementing results / link to decision-making
+  * Improve impacts by analysing power / timing issues (right person / right time)
+  * Clarify objectives; Increase acceptance of outputs; give meaning to results
+  * Create link to implementation / strategy (top-down or bottom-up?); internalization needed
+  * Create demand for citizens
+===Foresight 2030 ===
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+  * Many alternative scenarios possible
+  * Threat of "automation" / takeover from other disciplines / actors
+  * Opportunity for larger-scale roll-out if being clear on what it can and can't do, relies on clearly demonstrated benefits
+  * Foresight as an everyday tool: low cost and easily accessible tools for the everyday user - personal fore-sighting
+  * Professional foresight becomes more about framing, sense making and narrative - as scanning becomes more automated
+Who pays for foresight in 2030? Alongside a traditional commissioning model by corporations and governments, crowd funded foresight occurs when groups of individuals involved in communities/advocacy come together to co-fund the foresight projects they really want to see
+  * Foresight becomes part of developing resilience, adapting to change and facilitating behavioral shifts and changing culture
+Overall insight, across all 3 groups / topics: New approaches are developing rapidly, especially from working with / overlaps with approaches from other disciplines. The (partly normative) discussion in the community is still missing on which new approaches to push where and for what specific purpose, or where / how to also "counteract" trends and safeguard foresight depth and quality levels.