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futurist_fieldguide:discovering_alternatives [2015-05-19 10:22] – created maja | futurist_fieldguide:discovering_alternatives [2015-05-20 13:35] – alkan | ||
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- | ==== Discovering Alternatives ==== | + | ===== Discovering Alternatives |
- | Discovering | + | Discovering |
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=== Process === | === Process === | ||
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+ | * Step 1. Frame this technique as a part of [[causal layered analysis]], where new possibilities and scenarios are uncovered in response to a current (undesirable) situation. | ||
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+ | * Step 2. Identify an issue, system, worldview and/or myth that is constraining or problematic in the present. Consider doing this by following the steps outlined in [[uncovering causality]]. | ||
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+ | * Step 3 can involve two alternative approaches: | ||
+ | * Step 3a: __horizontal alternatives__. Take one layer at a time and ask: How could we look at this (issue, system, worldview, myth) differently? | ||
+ | * Step 3b: __diagonal scenarios__. Begin with the myth layer that you identified in step 2 and create an alternative story or image that reflects the wishes of the group. Build the new scenario from the myth layer upwards. Ask which worldviews this myth would give rise to. Which systems and social structures would be shaped by this worldview? For example, what would the news or current affairs look like in this world -- which issues, solutions and facts would be reported? | ||
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+ | * Step 4. Reality check: if the purpose of your scenario building is to identify what you can do in the present to begin changing an undesirable situation, go through each of the layers of your new scenario and look for: | ||
+ | * Instrumental solutions and quick-fixes (Litany) | ||
+ | * Policy-oriented strategies, different [[STEEP]] approaches (Systems and Causes) | ||
+ | * Ways to change prevailing values, worldviews, mindsets and behaviours (Discourse/ | ||
+ | * New or different metaphors, stories, images, myths that could provoke alternative emotional responses (Myth/ | ||
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==== References ==== | ==== References ==== |