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futurist_fieldguide:horizon_scanning [2021-04-14 10:11] – nik | futurist_fieldguide:horizon_scanning [2021-04-14 10:51] (current) – [Synthesis] nik | ||
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==== Sourcing ==== | ==== Sourcing ==== | ||
- | Most curious people | + | Most curious people |
* Official reports (foresight, industry, policy, etc.) are useful to scan the macro environment (megatrends, | * Official reports (foresight, industry, policy, etc.) are useful to scan the macro environment (megatrends, | ||
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==== Sorting ==== | ==== Sorting ==== | ||
- | While you might spend most of the time scanning sources to find out what is happening, sorting and structuring the gathered information is just as important | + | While you might spend time scanning sources to find out what is happening, sorting and structuring the gathered information is also important. It certainly helps to make sense of it all, to be able to answer the question "what does this tell me (about my topic of interest or possible future)?" |
- | How to keep track of all the signals, trends and drivers is a craft, and it' | + | Keeping |
- | If you're scanning with a group of people, you' | + | If you're scanning with a group of people, you' |
- | * where and how do you bookmark materials? | + | * where and how do you bookmark, reference or store materials? |
* is there a shared document repository? | * is there a shared document repository? | ||
* how do you take notes? | * how do you take notes? | ||
* how will you keep your evidence, signals and trends together? | * how will you keep your evidence, signals and trends together? | ||
- | * is there a need for a searchable | + | * is there a need for a more structured |
- | * do you need a collective taxonomy specific to your area of interest? | + | * do you need a collective taxonomy specific to your area of interest? is it predefined or adhoc? |
- | * how will you map clusters of signals, trends and forces to understand the landscape as a dynamic ecosystem? | + | * how will you map clusters of signals, trends and forces to help understand the landscape as a dynamic ecosystem? |
* do you need additional lenses or frameworks, such as: | * do you need additional lenses or frameworks, such as: | ||
* [[STEEP]](VD): | * [[STEEP]](VD): | ||
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==== Synthesis ==== | ==== Synthesis ==== | ||
- | (...) | + | Scanning and sorting usually involves dealing with “too much material”. The material could include sources that might not be directly relevant, things from unreliable sources, overly technical sources, or untested speculation alongside heavily verified sources. Synthesising the material, bringing together the loose ends, the unexpected signals, finding clusters, seeing connections, |
===== References ===== | ===== References ===== |