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resilients:prehearsing_the_future [2013-02-24 10:49] – alkanresilients:prehearsing_the_future [2013-03-05 09:36] – 83.101.5.51
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 All of these realisations can function as an "early warning system" in real situations. We can recognise patterns of events or behaviours as they arise and refer to our shared prehearsal experience. At FoAM we began using names of scenarios to describe actual experiences: //this week was such an// “Incubator” //that I just wanted to retreat to a// “Bohemian Salon”;  //she wants a// “Flotilla” //commitment, but is only available as a// “Weekend superhero”… These names became short-cuts for a whole entangled system of concepts and behaviours. When mentioned, memories and emotional responses experienced during a prehearsal would resurface and we could associate causes and effects of events as they begin unfold.  All of these realisations can function as an "early warning system" in real situations. We can recognise patterns of events or behaviours as they arise and refer to our shared prehearsal experience. At FoAM we began using names of scenarios to describe actual experiences: //this week was such an// “Incubator” //that I just wanted to retreat to a// “Bohemian Salon”;  //she wants a// “Flotilla” //commitment, but is only available as a// “Weekend superhero”… These names became short-cuts for a whole entangled system of concepts and behaviours. When mentioned, memories and emotional responses experienced during a prehearsal would resurface and we could associate causes and effects of events as they begin unfold. 
  
-Recognising patterns of scenarios is still a rather passive approach: we let the future emerge first, then react to it influenced by our experiences within scenarios and prehearsals. A more active approach is to begin implementing changes immediately and steer a situation towards a desired future. We see both approaches as necessary to enhance the resilience of our plans. Too much of one and we're still just responding, too much of the other and we become rigid, holding onto a future we'd like to happen while ignoring the signs that we might be headed to a completely different one. As with every process described in this article, there is no black and white, no heaven and hell, no clear-cut paths to a successful future self. As Bruce Sterling says, the future is a process. +Recognising patterns of scenarios is still a rather passive approach: we let the future emerge first, then react to it influenced by our experiences within scenarios and prehearsals. A more active approach is to begin implementing changes immediately and steer a situation towards a desired future. We see both approaches as necessary to enhance the resilience of our plans. Too much of one and we're still just responding, too much of the other and we become rigid, holding onto a future we'd like to happen while ignoring the signs that we might be headed to a completely different one. As with every practice described in this article, there is no black and white, no heaven and hell, no clear-cut paths to a successful future self. As Bruce Sterling says, the future is a process. 
  
 ===The end, but not really=== ===The end, but not really===
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   * Peter Schwartz, 1998, //The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World,// Wiley   * Peter Schwartz, 1998, //The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World,// Wiley
-  * Bruce Sterling, 2002, //Tomorrow Now: Envisioning the Next Fifty Years.// New York: Random House+  * Bruce Sterling, 2002, //Tomorrow Now: Envisioning the Next Fifty Years,// New York: Random House 
 + 
 +Guidelines for DIY scenario building and prehearsing: 
 + 
 +  * http://libarynth.org/resilients/prehearsal_pocket_guide 
 +  * http://libarynth.org/resilients/scenario_symphony 
  
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  • resilients/prehearsing_the_future.txt
  • Last modified: 2013-11-13 13:50
  • by nik