(as part of resilients and future preparedness)

present: amo,david,rasa,michka,maja,nik

Annamaria

• Food prints project : how to feed future cities > today, working on Molenbeek.
• Quite a few scenario building toolkits.
• Foodprints > ruler > five different scenarios
• Create as symphony of scenarios using the toolkits.
• 11 steps process.
• Working with Stockholm resilience models.

Rasa

• Scenarios are about being aware > quicker than actually connecting people and doing the real stuff.

David

• Photography, design, public policy, food, drugs, and complex systems.
• Discovering life in countryside in a cabin.

Maja

• Design forecasting background > prepare designers to help them act for social changes.
• Resilience can be conservative, scenarios bring visionary aspects and fight the apathy.

Nik

• similar motivation as Maja, happy to discover new toolkits.

Set a question/challenge
You may have a whole set.
Tool 1 : Drivers of change cards based on food
	Questions based on social, env, eco, poli…
Identify the first question through this tool.

Critical uncertainties.
Four scenarios.
Decide which matrix we will use.

Speculate on what exist, because today we have no experts.
Identify the people that would be needed.

Map > get the possibilities.
Network of people, and connect through those channels.
Role of food in the community.

Physical stuff
	What we observe

1) Challenge : division between women and men related to food.
	Women > buy/grow and eat inside. Not accpetable to eat out.
	Men > eat out.
	They are happy when you do it, but they do not find it acceptable for their wives.
	Exception : street food.
		Market once a week
		Flee market once a year
	> How can street food become more diverse in Molenbeek ?
	> How can food as a daily routine become an instrument in making eating an all-inclusive experience ?
	Paradigm shift induced all year long.

	Farming, distribution, trade, diet > shifts in mindset.
		From Hungry City's book.

	Parameters : gender, age, culture.

	Molenbeek biggest surface area and youth population (60% of Molenbeek is youth, Molenbeek is 1/19 of Brussels region population).
	People live in appartments.
	Divided in neighborhoods.
	High unemployment.
	People are squeezed between  gentrification and Flanders !
	Seen as a ghetto, and the most criminal area - even if it may not be the worst.

2) Challenge : perception of Molenbeek
	> How could food improve the image of Molenbeek ?
		Positive, food diversity, shops open all the time.

3) Challenge : ramadan.
	Before sunset : hungry > aggressive.
	After sunset : sugar rush > fights.
	Daytime with sandwich > you can attack people.
	> How do you increase religious tolerance using food ?

The challenge finally selected is :
	> How could food improve the contact and engagement in Molenbeek (trade, distribution, farming and diet) ?

Time > which year, short-term, long-term
	> 2015
Place :
	As we are talking of contact, we should identify a hub.
	Canal, future street, prosperity street, and parvis Saint Jean-Baptiste.

What is the available material and context to improve things ?

Future street > there is the Dutch integration bureau for immigrants.
	Learn language and stuff.
Square (market space)
	Bakery
	Green grocers - wonderful turkish women
	Tea place
	Rotating chicken places
	5 mosks
	1 rental church
	Hair dresser
	Dumpling take-away
Rue de la prospérité
	School > 2.5-12 years old
Rue de l'école
	VKat > cultural center
Buildings along the streets
	Internal courtyards
Station Compte de Flandre
	Some empty fields with trees
Further
	Soy making
	Police
	French cultural center
		Theatre group who go get coffee in café
	House to help women get independent and find jobs
	Arab women solidarity association
	Park
	Spontaneous cricket match
	Waste
	Traffic
	Languages

Psychological things
	Destructive against anything coming from an external source.
		Nothing to do, unemployment…

Historical matter
	Canal was distributing food, flower, grain, coal
	Transportation/job/habitat
		Docks and wearhouses
			Low paid work
	Get historical photographs.

Critical uncertainties : select critical points for reaching the objective, and uncertain drivers - not plannable.

Concentration of the young generation.
2 Diversity of available food.
Urban policy
3 Intolerance
1 Gentrification
Fear
The others
1 Islamification
Affordable food prices
Lack of public growing places
2 Waste
Climate change, gravity and solar flares
Car use
3 Engagement
Cultural identity
Crime and violence

Why growing plants ?

Food prices
Cultural identity

Try to pair them as opposites. Choose two pairs to plot that are absolutely not correlated to assign them to two axis.

We choose

Food diversity / waste
Curiosity / intolerance

Generate four scenarios for the four squares - all combinations of words below.

Maybe define them after a first development of scenarios.

Contextual
	Different settings for the future
	Happening here
	Beyond control because of larger whole
	Ex : young people, demographics, climate change…
Normative
	Normative positionning is certain.
	Desirable paths to achieve the objective.
	Ex : crime reduction, cultural (incl. food) diversity, virtues…
Metabolic
	Development principles, growing system, with life-like processes.
	Inputs, outputs, flows.
	Ex : regeneration, food imports, traffic, goods, people, waste.
Spatial
	Specific spatial characteristics
	Ex : the squeeze, market, destruction, churches

Basics for the narrative.

Food diversity and curiosity
	Fiesta
	Different generations, different cultures
	Trying things out
	Colourful, good smells
	Leave no trace
	Music
	Talking
	Dancing
	Squeezed
	Everything is edible
	All-inclusive
	Continuous flow
	Everyone cooks
	Middle-eastern bazar
	Hawker center > street food courts
	Affordable
	Eater is selective
	Sharing and reduce variety
Food diversity and intolerance
	Separate meals
	Eating clubs
	Inaccessible and selective
	Provider is selective
	Food fights
	Competition and micro-variety
Intolerance and food/TV waste 
	TV dinners
	Waste fights
	Throw away dinners > fast prepacked food, rotating chickens
	High crime rate
	Bad smell
	Abandoned
	Eerie quiet and erratic screams
	Sharp objects
	Cheap abandoned foods
	Fast eating
Curiosity and waste
	Freeganism > dumpster diving
	Street-living
	Inventive composting
	Inventive recycling
	DIY food and compost
	Only what is available
	Social contact

Tomorrow > names, fresh thoughts on scenario. Position on the ruler. Look the scenarios through diverse characters. Panarchy for each scenario.

	Active, passive and real-time future.
	Growth, death and organization.