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--- future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 07:57] – nik
+++ future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 15:23] – michka
@@ Line 21: / Line 21: @@
   * An app for flavour profiling. https://www.gastrograph.com/
+====Trends per Type====
+For < 50 years.
+===Social===
+===Technological===
+   * Development of "resource-efficient" large-scale agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems using bio-sourced fertilizers, methanisation...) > adverse environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction in biodiversity
+   * Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger) > only for very rich people, with unknown impact on health
+   * Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share > probable adverse health effects, such as cancers [Gilles Seralini]
+   * Existing minority, stable or decreasing, of small-scale sustainable farmers, holding the know-how for a potential rise after collapse.
+===Environmental===
+   * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere > increased systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines; potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity.
+   * Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
+   * Increase of desertification > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people, adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
+   * Climate change
+     * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity; when combined with hyper-specialization  of food crops per location (see Economical trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients.
+     * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide.
+   * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of available food crops; reduced resilience to change in seasinal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
+   * Decrease of available energetic resources > Increase on "traveling food" prices > when combined with increased inequities in personal wealth (see Economical Ttrends), reduce of food ingredients availability for most of the population (see Economical trends) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
+===Economical===
+   * Increased globalization of economy
+     * Prevalence of large-scale over small-scale food production > environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction of soil fertility
+     * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends); what happens when transport becomes more expensive ?
+   * Increased financiarisation of economy
+     * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
+   * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
+===Demographic===
+   * Increase of global population > More food needed
+   * Increase of urban population
+     * Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens > Increase resource depletion
+     * Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils
+===Cultural===
+   * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)
+   * Prevalent cultural impact to the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...)
+   * Moderate rise of GASAPs, Slow Food & Organic Food movements
+===Political===
+   * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking
+   * Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking.
+===Boiling it down===