a page to collect drivers of change and horizon scanning notes related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http://fo.am/late-lab-open-sauces/

eg. https://delicious.com/zzkt/food
http://agalmic.org/tagged/food

• e.g. http://www.cookingforengineers.com/recipe/34/Garlic-Roasted-Potatoes/trn
• e.g. https://www.quora.com/Cooking/What-are-some-technique-to-chopping-vegetables
• infographics from foodnetwork http://www.wired.com/design/2013/10/26-amazing-food-infographics/
• historical changes in ingredients http://cryptoforest.blogspot.be/2013/11/charting-geographical-origins-of.html
• “The Honeywell Kitchen Computer or H316 […] represented the first time a computer was offered as a consumer product.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honeywell_316#Kitchen_Computer
• “Bul­li­pedia is a pro­fes­sional tool based on the cod­i­fi­ca­tion of a cre­ative discipline.” from elBulli Foundation. http://hackingbullipedia.org/bullipedia3-2
• “A Work in Progress: Notes on Food, Cooking and Creativity” by René Redzepi. http://nyjournalofbooks.com/review/work-progress-notes-food-cooking-and-creativity
• “TASTED is a project that investigates the way we taste food and its flavor.” http://www.simona-derosa.com/works/#/tasted/
• network analysis “Flavor network and the principles of food pairing”. http://www.nature.com/srep/2011/111215/srep00196/full/srep00196.html
• general principles of cooking with coconut milk. http://ask.metafilter.com/257507/What-are-the-general-principles-for-cooking-with-coconut-milk
• An app for flavour profiling. https://www.gastrograph.com/

For < 50 years.

• Development of “resource-efficient” large-scale agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems using bio-sourced fertilizers, methanisation…) > adverse environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction in biodiversity
• Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger) > only for very rich people, with unknown impact on health
• Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share > probable adverse health effects, such as cancers [Gilles Seralini]
• Existing minority, stable or decreasing, of small-scale sustainable farmers, holding the know-how for a potential rise after collapse.

• Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere > increased systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines; potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity.
• Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
• Increase of desertification > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people, adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
• Climate change
  • Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity; when combined with hyper-specialization of food crops per location (see Economical trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients.
  • Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide.
• Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of available food crops; reduced resilience to change in seasinal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
• Decrease of available energetic resources > Increase on “traveling food” prices > when combined with increased inequities in personal wealth (see Economical Ttrends), reduce of food ingredients availability for most of the population (see Economical trends) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.

• Increased globalization of economy
  • Prevalence of large-scale over small-scale food production > environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction of soil fertility
  • Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends); what happens when transport becomes more expensive ?
• Increased financiarisation of economy
  • Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
• Increasing inequities in personal wealth > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food

• Increase of global population > More food needed
• Increase of urban population
  • Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens > Increase resource depletion
  • Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils

• Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)
• Prevalent cultural impact to the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki…)
• Moderate rise of GASAPs, Slow Food & Organic Food movements

• Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking
• Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking.