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future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 14:42] – michka | future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 15:02] – michka | ||
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====Trends per Type==== | ====Trends per Type==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | For < 50 years. | ||
===Social=== | ===Social=== | ||
- | |||
- | * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes | ||
===Technological=== | ===Technological=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger). | ||
+ | * Development of resource-efficient agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems) both large-sacle (bio-sourced fertilizers, | ||
+ | * Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share. | ||
===Environmental=== | ===Environmental=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere. | ||
+ | * Decrease of soil fertility | ||
+ | * Increase of desertification | ||
+ | * Climate change | ||
+ | * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity. | ||
+ | * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change in available food crops. | ||
+ | * Decrease of Biodiversity > Decrease of available food crops. | ||
===Economic=== | ===Economic=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Increased globalization of economy | ||
+ | * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > what happens when transport becomes more expensive ? | ||
+ | * Increased financiarisation of economy | ||
+ | * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food | ||
+ | * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food | ||
===Demographic=== | ===Demographic=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Increase of global population > More food needed | ||
+ | * Increase of urban population | ||
+ | * Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens > Increase resource depletion | ||
+ | * Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils | ||
===Cultural=== | ===Cultural=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?) | ||
+ | * Most of the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...) | ||
+ | * Moderate rise of Slow Food & Organic Food movements | ||
===Political=== | ===Political=== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking | ||
+ | * Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking. |