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a page to collect drivers of change and horizon scanning notes related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http://fo.am/late-lab-open-sauces/

eg. https://delicious.com/zzkt/food
http://agalmic.org/tagged/food

For < 50 years.

Social

Technological

  • Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger).
  • Development of resource-efficient agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems) both large-sacle (bio-sourced fertilizers, methanisation…) and small-scale (permaculture).
  • Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share.

Environmental

  • Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere.
  • Decrease of soil fertility
  • Increase of desertification
  • Climate change
    • Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity.
    • Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change in available food crops.
  • Decrease of Biodiversity > Decrease of available food crops.

Economic

  • Increased globalization of economy
    • Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > what happens when transport becomes more expensive ?
  • Increased financiarisation of economy
    • Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
  • Increasing inequities in personal wealth > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food

Demographic

  • Increase of global population > More food needed
  • Increase of urban population
    • Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens > Increase resource depletion
    • Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils

Cultural

  • Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)
  • Most of the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki…)
  • Moderate rise of Slow Food & Organic Food movements

Political

  • Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking
  • Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking.
  • future_fabulators/food_horizons.1396364563.txt.gz
  • Last modified: 2014-04-01 15:02
  • by michka