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==== Scenario Building at M-ITI ====

A scenario building workshop with nine researchers from [[http://www.m-iti.org/|Madeira Interactive Technologies Institute]], 20140116-17.

==== Why should a research institute exist? ====

In this two-day workshop the participants asked themselves what are possible futures for an academic institution such as M-ITI and what might be their "raison d'être" in the years to come. At present, research institutions are stretched between fierce competition, bureaucratic inertia, job (in)security and a strong desire to create a culture of sharing and innovation - a culture from which transformative experiences can emerge, enabling people to live the best possible lives in harmony with their environments. What is M-ITI like in this context, how will European Research Area (ERA) develop and what impact will its future have on M-ITI? What is the profile of the  person who could become the interface between M-ITI and ERA? How would this person  work in the existing M-ITI context and team? 

[[http://www.m-iti.org/|M-ITI website]]\\
[[http://erachair.m-iti.org|EraChair website]]


The core question for the participants of the workshop was **"Why should M-ITI exist?"**

//NOTE: The workshop focused specifically on M-ITI, but the scenarios have been written as possible futures for research institutes in general.//

<html><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/zzkt/12087275435/" title="L1008595 by zzkt, on Flickr"><img src="https://farm6.staticflickr.com/5475/12087275435_b5ca7de04f_c.jpg" width="800" height="532" alt="L1008595"></a></html>


==== Key Factors ====

  * Availability of resources (financial, infrastructure...)
  * Attractive environment for top people committed to M-ITI culture
  * Clarity of research scope
  * Close & fertile relationships with wider networks (partners, university, publishing in top conferences)
  * Public outreach (communication, relevance, perception...)

==== Macro Trends ====

A selection from identified macro trends:
  * Globalisation & international collaboration (diversity / inequality)
  * Sustainability and challenging degradation of environment, pollution and energy security
  * Innovation outside of academia, citizen science 
  * Behavioural change towards more sustainable lifestyles, through technology
  * Growing communities of practice around emerging technologies (maker cultures, DIY-tech dev...)
  * Social isolation (including aging)
  * Political inertia and the rise of e-democracy
  * Permanent economic crisis
  * Innovation in Sensing technologies

<html><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/foam/12282260586/" title="Social &amp; political macro trends by _foam, on Flickr"><img src="https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7356/12282260586_55abafc056_c.jpg" width="800" height="627" alt="Social &amp; political macro trends"></a></html>

==== Critical Uncertainties ====

The participants found the following trends and factors extremely important for the core question:

  * Commitment to M-ITI Culture
  * Relationships with wider networks
  * Globalisation (both positive and negative aspects, such as diversity and inequality)
  * Publishing in top HCI conferences
  * Providing an attractive environment for top people
  * Innovation outside of academia
  * Emerging communities of practice around technology
  * Sustainability and behavioural change


===== Scenarios ====

Two scenario axes (critical uncertainties): 
  * Is the research institute an attractive environment for top researchers?
  * How committed are these researchers to (developing) the organisational culture of the institute? 

When plotted as the two scenario axes, the following possible futures were revealed:
    * [[particle accelerator]] 
    * [[further]] 
    * [[zombie swamp]] 
    * [[beer club]] 


<html><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/foam/12281720935/" title="4scenarios by _foam, on Flickr"><img src="https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7392/12281720935_8f9ef6e39c_c.jpg" width="620" height="800" alt="4scenarios"></a></html>


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Back to [[scenarios]]