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future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2019-03-19 20:16] – maja | future_fabulators:scenario_methods [2023-05-08 11:38] (current) – nik | ||
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An overview of [[https:// | An overview of [[https:// | ||
- | Most scenario methods revolve around approximately similar phases: | + | Most scenario methods revolve around approximately similar phases: |
+ | * 1) delineating the space/ | ||
+ | * 2) identifying elements of the scenario (factors, drivers, trends, measures, actors, events...) | ||
+ | * 3) selecting a reasonable amount of elements and creating a ' | ||
+ | * 4) combining (forecasting, | ||
+ | * 5) using scenarios to (re)design decisions, strategies and actions in the present. | ||
+ | |||
+ | Or, as Chris Stewart proposes: Input, Analysis, Interpretation and Application | ||
{{: | {{: |