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future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 07:53] – [misc/sort] nikfuture_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 15:02] michka
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 ==== Food Horizons ==== ==== Food Horizons ====
  
-a page to collect drivers of change related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http://fo.am/late-lab-open-sauces/+a page to collect drivers of change and [[horizon scanning]] notes related to food, health and wellness, to design scenarios and a menu for http://fo.am/late-lab-open-sauces/ 
  
 eg. eg.
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   * An app for flavour profiling. https://www.gastrograph.com/   * An app for flavour profiling. https://www.gastrograph.com/
  
 +====Trends per Type====
 +
 +For < 50 years.
 +
 +===Social===
 +
 +===Technological===
 +
 +   * Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger).
 +   * Development of resource-efficient agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems) both large-sacle (bio-sourced fertilizers, methanisation...) and small-scale (permaculture).
 +   * Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share.
 +
 +===Environmental===
 +
 +   * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere.
 +   * Decrease of soil fertility
 +   * Increase of desertification
 +   * Climate change
 +     * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity.
 +     * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change in available food crops.
 +   * Decrease of Biodiversity > Decrease of available food crops.
 +
 +===Economic===
 +
 +   * Increased globalization of economy
 +     * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > what happens when transport becomes more expensive ?
 +   * Increased financiarisation of economy
 +     * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
 +   * Increasing inequities in personal wealth > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
 +
 +===Demographic===
 +
 +   * Increase of global population > More food needed
 +   * Increase of urban population
 +     * Massive amount of energy needed to bring food to urban citizens > Increase resource depletion
 +     * Increased urban pressure on neighboring fertile soils > Reducing availability of fertile soils
 +
 +===Cultural===
 +
 +   * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)
 +   * Most of the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...)
 +   * Moderate rise of Slow Food & Organic Food movements
 +
 +===Political===
 +
 +   * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking
 +   * Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking.
  • future_fabulators/food_horizons.txt
  • Last modified: 2014-10-25 16:02
  • by maja