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future_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 15:02] – michkafuture_fabulators:food_horizons [2014-04-01 15:23] – michka
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 ===Technological=== ===Technological===
  
-   * Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger). +   * Development of "resource-efficient" large-scale agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems using bio-sourced fertilizers, methanisation...) > adverse environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction in biodiversity 
-   * Development of resource-efficient agriculture techniques (agro-ecological systems) both large-sacle (bio-sourced fertilizers, methanisation...) and small-scale (permaculture). +   * Appearance of luxury technofood (like the lab-grown hamburger) > only for very rich people, with unknown impact on health 
-   * Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share.+   * Increase of GMO-food & seeds market share > probable adverse health effects, such as cancers [Gilles Seralini] 
 +   * Existing minority, stable or decreasing, of small-scale sustainable farmers, holding the know-how for a potential rise after collapse.
  
 ===Environmental=== ===Environmental===
  
-   * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere. +   * Massive pollution of water, soil and atmosphere > increased systemic diseases such as cancer & neurodegenerative medicines; potentially contributing to a loss in biodiversity. 
-   * Decrease of soil fertility +   * Decrease of soil fertility > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. 
-   * Increase of desertification+   * Increase of desertification > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people, adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
    * Climate change    * Climate change
-     * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity. +     * Increase of Extreme Climatic Events, f. i. Floods & Droughts > localized high food scarcity; when combined with hyper-specialization  of food crops per location (see Economical trends), world-wide scarcity of specific ingredients. 
-     * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change in available food crops. +     * Change in seasonal patterns and average climatic conditions > change of food crops production balance worldwide. 
-   * Decrease of Biodiversity > Decrease of available food crops.+   * Decrease of Biodiversity > decrease of available food crops; reduced resilience to change in seasinal patterns & climatic conditions > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability. 
 +   * Decrease of available energetic resources > Increase on "traveling food" prices > when combined with increased inequities in personal wealth (see Economical Ttrends), reduce of food ingredients availability for most of the population (see Economical trends) > reduction of available quantity & diversity of food > starvation for specific locations & poor people; adverse health effects for a wide range of the world population; geopolitical instability.
  
-===Economic===+===Economical===
  
    * Increased globalization of economy    * Increased globalization of economy
-     * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > what happens when transport becomes more expensive ?+     * Prevalence of large-scale over small-scale food production > environmental impacts such as pollution & reduction of soil fertility 
 +     * Hyper-specialisation of food crops grown on a given territory > reduced resilience to extreme climatic events (see Environmental trends); what happens when transport becomes more expensive ?
    * Increased financiarisation of economy    * Increased financiarisation of economy
      * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food      * Adverse effects of speculation on food prices > Reduction of food availability and diversity for most of the world population > Adverse health effects such as obesity, cancers & neurodegenerative diseases due to massive exposition to polluted food
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    * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)    * Most prevalent religions & related food regimes (Pork-free Islam & Bee-free hinduism ?)
-   * Most of the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...) +   * Prevalent cultural impact to the food still produced industrially (Nestlé, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, Exki...) 
-   * Moderate rise of Slow Food & Organic Food movements+   * Moderate rise of GASAPs, Slow Food & Organic Food movements
  
 ===Political=== ===Political===
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    * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking    * Increase of far-right, nationalist and identity-focused movements > back to traditional cooking & reduced diversity of cooking
    * Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking.    * Increase of patenting & reduction of authorized varieties > reduction of animal & plant species available for cooking.
 +
 +===Boiling it down===
  • future_fabulators/food_horizons.txt
  • Last modified: 2014-10-25 16:02
  • by maja